Players · Regression Lab

Regression Lab / find the mispriced players

The market pays for production. We price opportunity. The FD Value Score compares what a player scored to what his usage says he should score — the gap is your edge, before the league notices.
Min opps/gm 6

You give

You get

Verdict — true value, not box-score value
0.0
You give · true FP/G
vs
0.0
You get · true FP/G
Add players to both sides to get a verdict.
True value = 50% opportunity-expected scoring + 50% TD-luck-adjusted actual scoring. Positional scarcity and rest-of-season schedule not yet modeled.
Head-to-head — 2025 regular season